Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 1:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: one nonstop, DL 317 at 08:35, with a 8% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


DL 317 Delta Flight history →	JAC 08:35	ATL 14:15	8%	4%	0.6%	78%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Atlanta on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Atlanta is 2 h ahead of Jackson). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


United Details →	JAC 07:00 → DEN 08:40UA 1978	1h 28m Denver	DEN 10:08 → ATL 15:15UA 2806	6h 15m	97%	88%
Delta Details →	JAC 07:40 → SLC 08:50DL 4022 · flown by SkyWest	2h 15m Salt Lake City	SLC 11:05 → ATL 16:49DL 885	7h 09m	99%	88%
Delta Details →	JAC 13:15 → SLC 14:22DL 2282	3h 33m Salt Lake City	SLC 17:55 → ATL 23:58DL 905	8h 43m	99%	87%
United Details →	JAC 10:41 → DEN 12:16UA 5543 · flown by SkyWest	1h 10m Denver	DEN 13:26 → ATL 18:30UA 1671	5h 49m	97%	85%
United Details →	JAC 13:42 → DEN 15:18UA 1717	2h 30m Denver	DEN 17:48 → ATL 22:57UA 1305	7h 15m	97%	82%
American Details →	JAC 11:48 → DFW 15:36AA 3052	1h 31m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 17:07 → ATL 20:35AA 2403	6h 47m	95%	79%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON