Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: one nonstop, AA 1049 at 11:00, with a 13% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


AA 1049 American Flight history →	JAC 11:00	CLT 16:59	13%	5%	0.6%	71%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Charlotte on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Charlotte is 2 h ahead of Jackson). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	JAC 08:35 → ATL 14:15DL 317	3h 45m Atlanta	ATL 18:00 → CLT 19:21DL 3158	8h 46m	99%	90%
Delta Details →	JAC 07:40 → SLC 08:50DL 4022 · flown by SkyWest	2h 05m Salt Lake City	SLC 10:55 → CLT 16:52DL 2070	7h 12m	99%	89%
United Details →	JAC 07:00 → DEN 08:40UA 1978	1h 15m Denver	DEN 09:55 → CLT 15:20UA 2231	6h 20m	96%	86%
American Details →	JAC 11:48 → DFW 15:35AA 3052	2h 19m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 17:54 → CLT 21:44AA 1703	7h 56m	97%	83%
United Details →	JAC 13:42 → DEN 15:18UA 1717	2h 27m Denver	DEN 17:45 → CLT 23:08UA 616	7h 26m	97%	83%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON