Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 9–10% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


AA 3052 American Flight history →	JAC 11:48	DFW 15:36	9%	5%	0.6%	74%
AA 3179 American	JAC 13:01	DFW 16:52	10%	6%	0.6%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Dallas-Fort Worth on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 1 h ahead of Jackson). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


United Details →	JAC 10:41 → DEN 12:16UA 5543 · flown by SkyWest	1h 29m Denver	DEN 13:45 → DFW 16:51UA 578	5h 10m	98%	86%
Delta Details →	JAC 07:40 → SLC 08:50DL 4022 · flown by SkyWest	1h 00m Salt Lake City	SLC 09:50 → DFW 13:30DL 2800	4h 50m	94%	85%
United Details →	JAC 07:00 → DEN 08:40UA 1978	59m Denver	DEN 09:39 → DFW 12:43UA 1350	4h 43m	94%	85%
Delta Details →	JAC 13:15 → SLC 14:22DL 2282	3h 18m Salt Lake City	SLC 17:40 → DFW 21:23DL 2796	7h 08m	99%	85%
United Details →	JAC 13:42 → DEN 15:18UA 1717	3h 35m Denver	DEN 18:53 → DFW 21:59UA 1565	7h 17m	99%	85%
American Details →	JAC 14:01 → LAX 15:34AA 6471 · flown by SkyWest	3h 14m Los Angeles	LAX 18:48 → DFW 00:02 +1AA 504	9h 01m	99%	82%
American Details →	JAC 11:00 → CLT 17:00AA 1049	1h 05m Charlotte	CLT 18:05 → DFW 19:51AA 2815	7h 51m	85%	71%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON