tailodds FORECAST
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Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Tue 5:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: United via Denver, leaving 07:00, is the safest bet: 86% chance of reaching Houston on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Houston on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 1 h ahead of Jackson). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → JAC 07:00 → DEN 08:40UA 1978 2h 54m Denver DEN 11:34 → IAH 15:09UA 1599 7h 09m 99% 86%
DeltaDetails → JAC 13:15 → SLC 14:22DL 2282 3h 23m Salt Lake City SLC 17:45 → IAH 21:50DL 2514 7h 35m 98% 84%
DeltaDetails → JAC 08:35 → ATL 14:15DL 317 2h 10m Atlanta ATL 16:25 → IAH 17:30DL 1131 7h 55m 98% 83%
UnitedDetails → JAC 10:42 → DEN 12:16UA 5543 · flown by SkyWest 1h 14m Denver DEN 13:30 → IAH 17:04UA 1829 5h 22m 97% 82%
UnitedDetails → JAC 14:44 → DEN 16:21UA 2791 3h 14m Denver DEN 19:35 → IAH 23:06UA 475 7h 22m 97% 81%
UnitedDetails → JAC 13:42 → DEN 15:18UA 1717 1h 55m Denver DEN 17:13 → IAH 20:32UA 1587 5h 50m 97% 77%
AmericanDetails → JAC 11:48 → DFW 15:36AA 3052 2h 27m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 18:03 → IAH 19:24AA 1386 6h 36m 97% 77%
AmericanDetails → JAC 11:00 → CLT 17:00AA 1049 51m Charlotte CLT 17:51 → IAH 19:35AA 2935 7h 35m 82% 66%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON