Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 8–11% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


AA 6471 American flown by SkyWest Flight history →	JAC 14:01	LAX 15:34	8%	6%	0.7%	87%
OO 6336 SkyWest	JAC 17:34	LAX 19:07	11%	5%	0.7%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Los Angeles on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 1 h behind Jackson). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	JAC 07:40 → SLC 08:50DL 4022 · flown by SkyWest	2h 40m Salt Lake City	SLC 11:30 → LAX 12:27DL 829	5h 47m	100%	91%
United Details →	JAC 10:41 → DEN 12:16UA 5543 · flown by SkyWest	3h 27m Denver	DEN 15:43 → LAX 17:15UA 1195	7h 34m	100%	88%
United Details →	JAC 07:00 → DEN 08:40UA 1978	3h 05m Denver	DEN 11:45 → LAX 13:17UA 1013	7h 17m	99%	88%
Delta Details →	JAC 13:15 → SLC 14:22DL 2282	1h 18m Salt Lake City	SLC 15:40 → LAX 16:36DL 841	4h 21m	95%	83%
American Details →	JAC 11:48 → DFW 15:36AA 3052	1h 59m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 17:35 → LAX 19:01AA 2125	8h 13m	97%	83%
United Details →	JAC 13:42 → DEN 15:18UA 1717	2h 10m Denver	DEN 17:28 → LAX 18:52UA 1753	6h 10m	97%	81%
United Details →	JAC 14:44 → DEN 16:21UA 2791	3h 17m Denver	DEN 19:38 → LAX 21:00UA 1460	7h 16m	97%	80%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON