tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 12–16% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 2147 Southwest LAS 09:32 COS 12:19 12% 2% 0.4% no record
WN 3127 Southwest LAS 16:19 COS 19:07 16% 4% 0.4% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Colorado Springs on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Colorado Springs is 1 h ahead of Las Vegas). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → LAS 10:00 → SLC 12:29DL 1698 3h 22m Salt Lake City SLC 15:51 → COS 17:35DL 4449 · flown by SkyWest 6h 35m 99% 92%
DeltaDetails → LAS 17:00 → SLC 19:25DL 1672 1h 34m Salt Lake City SLC 20:59 → COS 22:41DL 3788 · flown by SkyWest 4h 41m 97% 91%
UnitedDetails → LAS 05:30 → DEN 08:32UA 596 1h 13m Denver DEN 09:45 → COS 10:46UA 5306 · flown by SkyWest 4h 16m 98% 87%
UnitedDetails → LAS 09:37 → DEN 12:41UA 1315 2h 54m Denver DEN 15:35 → COS 16:32UA 5546 · flown by SkyWest 5h 55m 99% 82%
UnitedDetails → LAS 13:36 → DEN 16:40UA 1323 2h 50m Denver DEN 19:30 → COS 20:26UA 5669 · flown by SkyWest 5h 50m 98% 81%
UnitedDetails → LAS 11:39 → DEN 14:28UA 1006 2h 27m Denver DEN 16:55 → COS 17:52UA 5308 · flown by SkyWest 5h 13m 97% 81%
AmericanDetails → LAS 06:10 → DFW 11:05AA 2932 2h 30m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 13:35 → COS 14:40AA 1170 7h 30m 99% 79%
AmericanDetails → LAS 10:11 → DFW 15:08AA 1584 2h 19m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 17:27 → COS 18:34AA 6267 · flown by SkyWest 7h 23m 97% 78%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON