tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 4:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 7–15% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 116 Southwest LAS 07:41 OMA 12:14 7% 1% 0.4% no record
WN 680 Southwest LAS 16:24 OMA 20:56 15% 4% 0.4% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Omaha on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Omaha is 2 h ahead of Las Vegas). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → LAS 00:35 → MSP 05:45DL 2834 3h 05m Minneapolis MSP 08:50 → OMA 10:12DL 3831 · flown by SkyWest 7h 37m 99% 93%
DeltaDetails → LAS 06:00 → SLC 08:19DL 2674 1h 16m Salt Lake City SLC 09:35 → OMA 12:56DL 4114 · flown by SkyWest 4h 56m 98% 93%
AmericanDetails → LAS 00:11 → ORD 05:32AA 3077 2h 49m Chicago ORD 08:21 → OMA 10:11AA 4042 · flown by Envoy 8h 00m 99% 92%
DeltaDetails → LAS 13:31 → MSP 18:42DL 2238 2h 48m Minneapolis MSP 21:30 → OMA 22:48DL 4014 · flown by SkyWest 7h 17m 99% 91%
UnitedDetails → LAS 00:00 → ORD 05:26UA 2102 3h 14m Chicago ORD 08:40 → OMA 10:27UA 1778 8h 27m 99% 90%
DeltaDetails → LAS 09:59 → DTW 16:58DL 470 2h 47m Detroit DTW 19:45 → OMA 20:53DL 3715 · flown by SkyWest 8h 54m 99% 90%
DeltaDetails → LAS 05:50 → DTW 12:44DL 864 3h 16m Detroit DTW 16:00 → OMA 17:10DL 3889 · flown by SkyWest 9h 20m 99% 90%
DeltaDetails → LAS 17:00 → SLC 19:25DL 1672 1h 15m Salt Lake City SLC 20:40 → OMA 23:58DL 3706 · flown by SkyWest 4h 58m 95% 89%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → LAS 14:25 → ORD 20:23UA 706 50m Chicago ORD 21:13 → OMA 22:44UA 2336 6h 19m 68% 55%
AmericanDetails → LAS 11:11 → CLT 18:41AA 2981 47m Charlotte CLT 19:28 → OMA 21:10AA 961 7h 59m 55% 44%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON