tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 13–19% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 3655 Southwest LAS 20:17 PSP 21:18 13% 3% 0.6% no record
WN 1571 Southwest LAS 15:54 PSP 16:55 19% 3% 0.5% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Palm Springs on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → LAS 06:00 → SLC 08:19DL 2674 2h 26m Salt Lake City SLC 10:45 → PSP 11:41DL 4042 · flown by SkyWest 5h 41m 99% 95%
DeltaDetails → LAS 10:00 → SLC 12:29DL 1698 3h 11m Salt Lake City SLC 15:40 → PSP 16:33DL 3852 · flown by SkyWest 6h 33m 99% 94%
UnitedDetails → LAS 06:00 → SFO 07:35UA 643 1h 00m San Francisco SFO 08:35 → PSP 10:18UA 717 4h 18m 97% 88%
UnitedDetails → LAS 05:30 → DEN 08:32UA 596 2h 48m Denver DEN 11:20 → PSP 12:41UA 687 7h 11m 100% 87%
UnitedDetails → LAS 13:34 → SFO 15:16UA 1799 3h 22m San Francisco SFO 18:38 → PSP 20:26UA 5705 · flown by SkyWest 6h 52m 99% 84%
AmericanDetails → LAS 12:14 → PHX 13:36AA 2109 3h 37m Phoenix PHX 17:13 → PSP 18:25AA 4922 · flown by SkyWest 6h 11m 98% 83%
AmericanDetails → LAS 06:45 → PHX 08:00AA 1808 2h 32m Phoenix PHX 10:32 → PSP 11:50AA 1884 5h 05m 98% 83%
UnitedDetails → LAS 14:15 → LAX 15:35UA 2184 3h 19m Los Angeles LAX 18:54 → PSP 19:58UA 5345 · flown by SkyWest 5h 43m 98% 83%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON