Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: Delta via Minneapolis, leaving 00:24, is the safest bet: 90% chance of reaching Columbus on time.

Nonstops that day


UA 2251 United	LAX 10:32	CMH 18:08	15%	5%	0.5%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Columbus on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Columbus is 3 h ahead of Los Angeles). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


United Details →	LAX 10:45 → ORD 17:04UA 2113	2h 41m Chicago	ORD 19:45 → CMH 22:24UA 3614 · flown by Republic	8h 39m	98%	92%
Delta Details →	LAX 09:45 → DTW 17:08DL 494	2h 46m Detroit	DTW 19:54 → CMH 21:02DL 5838 · flown by Republic	8h 17m	99%	92%
American Details →	LAX 00:08 → PHL 08:18AA 2010	2h 15m Philadelphia	PHL 10:33 → CMH 12:33AA 2253	9h 25m	99%	92%
American Details →	LAX 00:13 → DFW 05:20AA 2490	1h 58m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 07:18 → CMH 10:50AA 1279	7h 37m	100%	92%
Delta Details →	LAX 06:00 → ATL 13:35DL 390	3h 50m Atlanta	ATL 17:25 → CMH 19:03DL 2786	10h 03m	99%	91%
Delta Details →	LAX 09:50 → ATL 17:13DL 327	3h 19m Atlanta	ATL 20:32 → CMH 22:16DL 1501	9h 26m	99%	91%
Delta Details →	LAX 06:15 → MSP 11:52DL 792	3h 43m Minneapolis	MSP 15:35 → CMH 18:28DL 2113	9h 13m	100%	91%
Delta Details →	LAX 00:24 → MSP 06:02DL 430	1h 08m Minneapolis	MSP 07:10 → CMH 10:02DL 2772	6h 38m	95%	90%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON