tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 11:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 10–19% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
DL 861 Delta Flight history → LAX 09:05 IND 16:10 10% 2% 0.6% 92%
AA 1899 American Flight history → LAX 10:37 IND 17:50 19% 5% 0.6% 74%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Indianapolis on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Indianapolis is 3 h ahead of Los Angeles). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → LAX 00:24 → MSP 06:02DL 430 2h 48m Minneapolis MSP 08:50 → IND 11:28DL 2456 8h 04m 100% 94%
UnitedDetails → LAX 10:45 → ORD 17:04UA 2113 2h 41m Chicago ORD 19:45 → IND 22:05UA 3707 · flown by Republic 8h 20m 98% 91%
AmericanDetails → LAX 00:08 → PHL 08:18AA 2010 2h 27m Philadelphia PHL 10:45 → IND 12:55AA 5240 · flown by PSA 9h 47m 99% 91%
UnitedDetails → LAX 05:10 → ORD 11:27UA 580 1h 20m Chicago ORD 12:47 → IND 15:03UA 3702 · flown by Republic 6h 53m 97% 91%
DeltaDetails → LAX 06:00 → ATL 13:35DL 390 2h 26m Atlanta ATL 16:01 → IND 17:42DL 2979 8h 42m 99% 91%
DeltaDetails → LAX 06:15 → MSP 11:52DL 792 3h 53m Minneapolis MSP 15:45 → IND 18:22DL 1456 9h 07m 100% 90%
AmericanDetails → LAX 00:13 → DFW 05:20AA 2490 1h 41m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 07:01 → IND 10:13AA 1506 7h 00m 99% 90%
DeltaDetails → LAX 06:40 → BOS 15:15DL 639 2h 30m Boston BOS 17:45 → IND 20:34DL 5616 · flown by Republic 10h 54m 99% 90%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → LAX 10:20 → EWR 19:04UA 2127 51m Newark EWR 19:55 → IND 21:50UA 3447 · flown by Republic 8h 30m 74% 59%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON