Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 9:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 12–13% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


AA 6385 American flown by SkyWest Flight history →	LAX 17:22	OKC 22:18	12%	6%	0.6%	92%
AA 6378 American flown by SkyWest Flight history →	LAX 08:02	OKC 13:01	13%	5%	0.6%	97%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Oklahoma City on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Oklahoma City is 2 h ahead of Los Angeles). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


American Details →	LAX 00:13 → DFW 05:20AA 2490	1h 48m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 07:08 → OKC 08:18AA 4946 · flown by SkyWest	6h 05m	100%	90%
American Details →	LAX 00:38 → DFW 05:47AA 971	3h 15m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 09:02 → OKC 10:15AA 1902	7h 37m	100%	88%
United Details →	LAX 08:10 → IAH 13:40UA 1416	2h 55m Houston	IAH 16:35 → OKC 18:15UA 6334 · flown by Mesa	8h 05m	99%	87%
Delta Details →	LAX 06:00 → ATL 13:35DL 390	1h 40m Atlanta	ATL 15:15 → OKC 16:22DL 2862	8h 22m	98%	86%
United Details →	LAX 00:51 → IAH 06:12UA 491	1h 13m Houston	IAH 07:25 → OKC 08:57UA 6178 · flown by Mesa	6h 06m	95%	86%
Delta Details →	LAX 13:15 → ATL 20:56DL 395	1h 48m Atlanta	ATL 22:44 → OKC 23:52DL 2423	8h 37m	94%	85%
United Details →	LAX 05:45 → IAH 11:12UA 654	3h 23m Houston	IAH 14:35 → OKC 16:15UA 6189 · flown by Mesa	8h 30m	100%	84%
Delta Details →	LAX 11:15 → MSP 16:50DL 413	1h 20m Minneapolis	MSP 18:10 → OKC 20:15DL 3791 · flown by SkyWest	7h 00m	95%	84%
Tight connection: often missed
American Details →	LAX 16:39 → PHX 18:10AA 2032	46m Phoenix	PHX 18:56 → OKC 23:15AA 6320 · flown by SkyWest	4h 36m	74%	62%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON