Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: one nonstop, AA 6506 at 09:13, with a 9% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


AA 6506 American flown by SkyWest Flight history →	LAX 09:13	OMA 14:39	9%	5%	0.5%	91%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Omaha on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Omaha is 2 h ahead of Los Angeles). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	LAX 00:24 → MSP 06:02DL 430	2h 48m Minneapolis	MSP 08:50 → OMA 10:12DL 3831 · flown by SkyWest	7h 48m	100%	94%
Delta Details →	LAX 07:15 → SLC 10:10DL 1318	3h 20m Salt Lake City	SLC 13:30 → OMA 16:51DL 3896 · flown by SkyWest	7h 36m	99%	94%
Delta Details →	LAX 05:35 → SLC 08:30DL 2906	1h 05m Salt Lake City	SLC 09:35 → OMA 12:56DL 4114 · flown by SkyWest	5h 21m	97%	91%
American Details →	LAX 00:13 → DFW 05:20AA 2490	1h 53m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 07:13 → OMA 09:15AA 2135	7h 02m	100%	90%
Delta Details →	LAX 09:45 → DTW 17:08DL 494	2h 37m Detroit	DTW 19:45 → OMA 20:53DL 3715 · flown by SkyWest	9h 08m	98%	89%
Delta Details →	LAX 05:30 → DTW 12:56DL 2399	3h 04m Detroit	DTW 16:00 → OMA 17:10DL 3889 · flown by SkyWest	9h 40m	100%	89%
Delta Details →	LAX 06:00 → ATL 13:35DL 390	2h 50m Atlanta	ATL 16:25 → OMA 17:48DL 2364	9h 48m	99%	88%
Delta Details →	LAX 11:15 → MSP 16:50DL 413	1h 35m Minneapolis	MSP 18:25 → OMA 19:47DL 4024 · flown by SkyWest	6h 32m	96%	87%
Tight connection: often missed
Delta Details →	LAX 11:00 → ATL 18:37DL 528	53m Atlanta	ATL 19:30 → OMA 20:54DL 2707	7h 54m	70%	62%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON