tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: one nonstop, UA 5345 at 18:54, with a 15% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
UA 5345 United flown by SkyWest Flight history → LAX 18:54 PSP 19:58 15% 6% 0.6% 90%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Palm Springs on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → LAX 05:35 → SLC 08:30DL 2906 2h 15m Salt Lake City SLC 10:45 → PSP 11:41DL 4042 · flown by SkyWest 6h 06m 99% 95%
DeltaDetails → LAX 09:55 → SLC 12:45DL 1434 2h 55m Salt Lake City SLC 15:40 → PSP 16:33DL 3852 · flown by SkyWest 6h 38m 98% 93%
UnitedDetails → LAX 13:26 → SFO 15:01UA 469 3h 37m San Francisco SFO 18:38 → PSP 20:26UA 5705 · flown by SkyWest 7h 00m 98% 83%
UnitedDetails → LAX 12:46 → DEN 16:16UA 360 3h 00m Denver DEN 19:16 → PSP 20:34UA 2644 7h 48m 99% 79%
UnitedDetails → LAX 07:30 → SFO 09:06UA 1372 3h 36m San Francisco SFO 12:42 → PSP 14:14UA 342 6h 44m 99% 79%
AmericanDetails → LAX 13:10 → PHX 14:40AA 1994 2h 33m Phoenix PHX 17:13 → PSP 18:25AA 4922 · flown by SkyWest 5h 15m 92% 78%
AlaskaDetails → LAX 15:47 → SEA 18:33AS 585 1h 37m Seattle SEA 20:10 → PSP 22:44AS 1498 6h 57m 92% 75%
AlaskaDetails → LAX 14:27 → PDX 16:47AS 1315 49m Portland PDX 17:36 → PSP 20:14AS 3022 · flown by SkyWest 5h 47m 78% 66%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON