tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 9:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 11–14% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
OO 6210 SkyWest LAX 17:17 XNA 22:41 11% 6% 0.6% no record
OO 6299 SkyWest LAX 09:58 XNA 15:21 14% 8% 0.6% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fayetteville/Springdale/ on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Fayetteville/Springdale/ is 2 h ahead of Los Angeles). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → LAX 07:15 → SLC 10:10DL 1318 3h 18m Salt Lake City SLC 13:28 → XNA 17:08DL 3620 · flown by SkyWest 7h 53m 99% 91%
AmericanDetails → LAX 06:00 → DFW 11:15AA 2811 3h 04m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 14:19 → XNA 15:47AA 3840 · flown by Envoy 7h 47m 99% 90%
DeltaDetails → LAX 08:05 → ATL 15:41DL 782 3h 55m Atlanta ATL 19:36 → XNA 20:34DL 1710 10h 29m 99% 88%
DeltaDetails → LAX 13:15 → ATL 20:56DL 395 2h 06m Atlanta ATL 23:02 → XNA 00:01 +1DL 3747 · flown by SkyWest 8h 46m 96% 87%
DeltaDetails → LAX 06:00 → ATL 13:35DL 390 3h 39m Atlanta ATL 17:14 → XNA 18:05DL 2771 10h 05m 99% 87%
AmericanDetails → LAX 09:32 → ORD 15:49AA 2998 3h 09m Chicago ORD 18:58 → XNA 20:48AA 3578 · flown by Envoy 9h 16m 97% 86%
UnitedDetails → LAX 00:51 → IAH 06:12UA 491 3h 23m Houston IAH 09:35 → XNA 11:12UA 4297 · flown by CommuteAir 8h 21m 100% 85%
AmericanDetails → LAX 08:05 → DFW 13:18AA 2766 3h 26m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 16:44 → XNA 18:11AA 3693 · flown by Envoy 8h 06m 98% 85%
Tight connection: often missed
DeltaDetails → LAX 11:00 → ATL 18:37DL 528 51m Atlanta ATL 19:28 → XNA 20:24DL 5159 · flown by Endeavor 7h 26m 69% 43%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON