Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 10–16% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


DL 5496 Delta flown by Endeavor Flight history →	LGA 13:23	HSV 14:41	10%	2%	0.7%	58%
DL 5040 Delta flown by Endeavor Flight history →	LGA 20:26	HSV 21:42	16%	5%	0.7%	62%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Huntsville on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Huntsville is 1 h behind New York). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	LGA 06:00 → ATL 08:23DL 550	3h 05m Atlanta	ATL 11:28 → HSV 11:33DL 2182	6h 33m	99%	94%
Delta Details →	LGA 09:00 → ATL 11:32DL 992	3h 57m Atlanta	ATL 15:29 → HSV 15:29DL 3026	7h 29m	100%	93%
Delta Details →	LGA 14:29 → DTW 16:34DL 308	3h 55m Detroit	DTW 20:29 → HSV 21:19DL 5386 · flown by Endeavor	7h 50m	99%	92%
Delta Details →	LGA 12:59 → ATL 15:26DL 994	3h 34m Atlanta	ATL 19:00 → HSV 19:00DL 3171	7h 01m	100%	91%
Delta Details →	LGA 16:00 → ATL 19:07DL 969	3h 53m Atlanta	ATL 23:00 → HSV 23:01DL 3022	8h 01m	100%	91%
Delta Details →	LGA 09:25 → DTW 11:24DL 1078	1h 57m Detroit	DTW 13:21 → HSV 14:10DL 5021 · flown by Endeavor	5h 45m	99%	91%
Delta Details →	LGA 11:59 → ATL 14:31DL 990	3h 16m Atlanta	ATL 17:47 → HSV 17:52DL 3065	6h 53m	99%	90%
United Details →	LGA 07:54 → IAH 10:17UA 2371	3h 04m Houston	IAH 13:21 → HSV 15:32UA 4315 · flown by CommuteAir	8h 38m	97%	87%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON