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Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 4:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: Delta via Atlanta, leaving 06:00, is the safest bet: 92% chance of reaching Myrtle Beach on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Myrtle Beach on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → LGA 06:00 → ATL 08:23DL 550 3h 25m Atlanta ATL 11:48 → MYR 13:00DL 3182 7h 00m 100% 92%
SouthwestDetails → LGA 11:00 → MDW 12:09WN 487 2h 35m Chicago MDW 14:44 → MYR 17:48WN 1460 6h 48m 100% 92%
DeltaDetails → LGA 16:00 → ATL 19:07DL 969 3h 33m Atlanta ATL 22:40 → MYR 23:55DL 3074 7h 55m 99% 89%
DeltaDetails → LGA 06:05 → DTW 07:55DL 1231 50m Detroit DTW 08:45 → MYR 10:39DL 1145 4h 34m 95% 88%
AmericanDetails → LGA 06:00 → CLT 07:58AA 3084 2h 08m Charlotte CLT 10:06 → MYR 11:14AA 2431 5h 14m 98% 87%
DeltaDetails → LGA 11:59 → ATL 14:31DL 990 3h 17m Atlanta ATL 17:48 → MYR 19:07DL 1093 7h 08m 99% 87%
AmericanDetails → LGA 10:10 → CLT 12:06AA 2036 3h 54m Charlotte CLT 16:00 → MYR 17:11AA 2943 7h 01m 99% 82%
AmericanDetails → LGA 12:10 → CLT 14:14AA 1150 3h 40m Charlotte CLT 17:54 → MYR 19:01AA 1417 6h 51m 100% 81%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON