tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: one nonstop, DL 379 at 10:20, with a 11% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
DL 379 Delta Flight history → LGA 10:20 RSW 13:27 11% 3% 2.7% 86%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Myers on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → LGA 06:10 → ORD 07:49UA 2389 1h 33m Chicago ORD 09:22 → RSW 13:18UA 1036 7h 08m 99% 86%
DeltaDetails → LGA 08:00 → ATL 10:29DL 364 2h 24m Atlanta ATL 12:53 → RSW 14:35DL 1196 6h 35m 100% 84%
DeltaDetails → LGA 06:00 → ATL 08:23DL 550 2h 02m Atlanta ATL 10:25 → RSW 12:11DL 1153 6h 11m 99% 83%
DeltaDetails → LGA 16:00 → ATL 19:07DL 969 3h 33m Atlanta ATL 22:40 → RSW 00:23 +1DL 1217 8h 23m 99% 83%
DeltaDetails → LGA 06:00 → MSP 07:53DL 2510 1h 12m Minneapolis MSP 09:05 → RSW 13:27DL 2400 7h 27m 97% 82%
DeltaDetails → LGA 13:59 → ATL 16:30DL 988 2h 58m Atlanta ATL 19:28 → RSW 21:13DL 1736 7h 14m 99% 81%
DeltaDetails → LGA 09:00 → ATL 11:32DL 992 3h 27m Atlanta ATL 14:59 → RSW 16:44DL 1379 7h 44m 100% 80%
AmericanDetails → LGA 08:13 → CLT 10:02AA 3279 1h 57m Charlotte CLT 11:59 → RSW 14:07AA 2018 5h 54m 96% 80%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON