tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 7:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 5–8% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 924 Southwest LIT 07:58 BNA 09:16 5% 2% 0.4% no record
WN 3866 Southwest LIT 14:53 BNA 16:11 8% 2% 0.4% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Nashville on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → LIT 05:25 → ATL 07:59DL 1565 1h 58m Atlanta ATL 09:57 → BNA 10:09DL 1155 4h 44m 99% 93%
DeltaDetails → LIT 06:47 → ATL 09:25DL 1396 1h 56m Atlanta ATL 11:21 → BNA 11:30DL 2867 4h 43m 98% 92%
AmericanDetails → LIT 07:09 → CLT 10:18AA 4158 · flown by Envoy 1h 41m Charlotte CLT 11:59 → BNA 12:27AA 2409 5h 18m 100% 91%
DeltaDetails → LIT 09:27 → ATL 12:05DL 3033 1h 49m Atlanta ATL 13:54 → BNA 14:03DL 3159 4h 36m 98% 90%
DeltaDetails → LIT 17:14 → ATL 20:00DL 3025 3h 00m Atlanta ATL 23:00 → BNA 23:15DL 3121 6h 01m 99% 89%
AmericanDetails → LIT 06:31 → ORD 08:42AA 3656 · flown by Envoy 2h 43m Chicago ORD 11:25 → BNA 13:06AA 2362 6h 35m 99% 88%
AmericanDetails → LIT 05:42 → DFW 07:00AA 4049 · flown by Envoy 3h 02m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 10:02 → BNA 12:05AA 1396 6h 23m 100% 88%
DeltaDetails → LIT 15:59 → ATL 18:42DL 3027 1h 42m Atlanta ATL 20:24 → BNA 20:38DL 3002 4h 39m 98% 87%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON