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Wednesday, October 7 · typical odds for a Wednesday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sat 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: Delta via Atlanta, leaving 05:39, is the safest bet: 90% chance of reaching Fort Lauderdale on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Lauderdale on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Fort Lauderdale is 1 h ahead of Kansas City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → MCI 05:39 → ATL 08:43DL 1204 1h 42m Atlanta ATL 10:25 → FLL 12:23DL 1512 5h 44m 100% 90%
DeltaDetails → MCI 06:23 → MSP 07:54DL 1635 56m Minneapolis MSP 08:50 → FLL 13:25DL 673 6h 02m 96% 87%
DeltaDetails → MCI 07:00 → ATL 10:03DL 1212 1h 22m Atlanta ATL 11:25 → FLL 13:20DL 2063 5h 20m 98% 85%
UnitedDetails → MCI 06:00 → DEN 06:56UA 355 2h 58m Denver DEN 09:54 → FLL 16:00UA 1214 9h 00m 98% 85%
UnitedDetails → MCI 06:16 → IAH 08:25UA 740 3h 39m Houston IAH 12:04 → FLL 15:47UA 1982 8h 31m 99% 85%
DeltaDetails → MCI 08:00 → ATL 11:01DL 3110 1h 30m Atlanta ATL 12:31 → FLL 14:27DL 1341 5h 27m 97% 84%
AmericanDetails → MCI 06:31 → CLT 10:00AA 1297 55m Charlotte CLT 10:55 → FLL 13:09AA 2585 5h 38m 94% 83%
AmericanDetails → MCI 05:31 → DFW 07:23AA 1098 3h 07m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 10:30 → FLL 14:39AA 1390 8h 08m 98% 83%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON