tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Tue 2:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: United via Denver, leaving 06:00, is the safest bet: 79% chance of reaching San Diego on time.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 4606 Southwest MCI 07:19 SAN 08:45 6% 1% 0.6% no record
WN 2313 Southwest MCI 12:58 SAN 14:40 13% 3% 0.5% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach San Diego on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (San Diego is 2 h behind Kansas City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → MCI 06:23 → MSP 07:54DL 1635 3h 44m Minneapolis MSP 11:38 → SAN 13:24DL 2125 9h 01m 99% 90%
DeltaDetails → MCI 05:39 → ATL 08:43DL 1204 2h 31m Atlanta ATL 11:14 → SAN 12:53DL 540 9h 14m 100% 88%
DeltaDetails → MCI 06:25 → DTW 09:23DL 1256 3h 16m Detroit DTW 12:39 → SAN 14:18DL 761 9h 53m 100% 88%
UnitedDetails → MCI 07:53 → ORD 09:45UA 1491 3h 40m Chicago ORD 13:25 → SAN 15:33UA 559 9h 40m 100% 88%
DeltaDetails → MCI 18:00 → SLC 19:41DL 2903 3h 14m Salt Lake City SLC 22:55 → SAN 23:50DL 1202 7h 50m 100% 86%
AmericanDetails → MCI 05:31 → DFW 07:23AA 1098 1h 54m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 09:17 → SAN 10:37AA 1058 7h 06m 98% 86%
DeltaDetails → MCI 12:16 → ATL 15:23DL 2908 2h 37m Atlanta ATL 18:00 → SAN 19:40DL 712 9h 24m 99% 85%
UnitedDetails → MCI 09:00 → DEN 10:12UA 1384 3h 18m Denver DEN 13:30 → SAN 14:55UA 1302 7h 55m 100% 85%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON