Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: one nonstop, WN 2314 at 16:59, with a 7% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


WN 2314 Southwest	MCI 16:59	SAT 18:58	7%	3%	0.4%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach San Antonio on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	MCI 05:39 → ATL 08:43DL 1204	3h 32m Atlanta	ATL 12:15 → SAT 13:38DL 1408	7h 59m	100%	91%
United Details →	MCI 08:58 → DEN 10:10UA 1384	3h 34m Denver	DEN 13:44 → SAT 16:55UA 1022	7h 57m	100%	90%
United Details →	MCI 06:00 → DEN 06:56UA 355	2h 39m Denver	DEN 09:35 → SAT 12:43UA 2625	6h 43m	98%	90%
Delta Details →	MCI 07:05 → SLC 08:41DL 2897	1h 09m Salt Lake City	SLC 09:50 → SAT 13:36DL 3123	6h 31m	98%	90%
Delta Details →	MCI 07:00 → ATL 10:03DL 1212	3h 42m Atlanta	ATL 13:45 → SAT 15:10DL 2009	8h 10m	99%	89%
United Details →	MCI 07:53 → ORD 09:45UA 1491	3h 45m Chicago	ORD 13:30 → SAT 16:29UA 2844	8h 36m	100%	89%
Delta Details →	MCI 06:23 → MSP 07:54DL 1635	1h 06m Minneapolis	MSP 09:00 → SAT 11:49DL 2667	5h 26m	97%	89%
American Details →	MCI 12:50 → DFW 14:41AA 1376	2h 54m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 17:35 → SAT 18:54AA 3899 · flown by Envoy	6h 04m	99%	88%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON