tailodds FORECAST
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Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 1:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks rough: weather pushes the average chance of arriving 15+ min late to 23%, against 11% on a calm day. Safest: B6 2656 at 12:47, 23%.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
B6 2656 JetBlue Flight history → MCO 12:47 SYR 15:46 23% 5% 1.8% 81%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Syracuse on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → MCO 06:05 → DTW 08:54DL 1201 2h 30m Detroit DTW 11:24 → SYR 12:53DL 5533 · flown by Endeavor 6h 48m 99% 93%
DeltaDetails → MCO 05:30 → ATL 07:05DL 1548 2h 10m Atlanta ATL 09:15 → SYR 11:25DL 1375 5h 55m 99% 91%
DeltaDetails → MCO 07:05 → ATL 08:46DL 2080 3h 51m Atlanta ATL 12:37 → SYR 14:48DL 2991 7h 43m 100% 91%
DeltaDetails → MCO 09:02 → DTW 11:45DL 2845 2h 37m Detroit DTW 14:22 → SYR 15:51DL 5465 · flown by Endeavor 6h 49m 99% 90%
DeltaDetails → MCO 11:05 → ATL 12:42DL 1213 3h 01m Atlanta ATL 15:43 → SYR 17:59DL 2690 6h 54m 98% 86%
AmericanDetails → MCO 07:04 → CLT 08:54AA 1647 1h 50m Charlotte CLT 10:44 → SYR 12:48AA 2730 5h 44m 99% 85%
UnitedDetails → MCO 09:40 → ORD 11:48UA 2683 2h 07m Chicago ORD 13:55 → SYR 16:48UA 2343 7h 08m 99% 85%
DeltaDetails → MCO 10:48 → LGA 13:24DL 1164 2h 10m New York LGA 15:34 → SYR 16:46DL 5388 · flown by Endeavor 5h 58m 97% 84%
Tight connection: often missed
DeltaDetails → MCO 11:05 → JFK 13:46DL 2049 47m New York JFK 14:33 → SYR 15:43DL 5328 · flown by Endeavor 4h 38m 69% 59%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON