tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 6% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 2670 Southwest MDW 10:19 AUS 12:50 6% 1% 0.5% no record
WN 1410 Southwest MDW 13:36 AUS 16:08 6% 2% 0.5% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Austin on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → MDW 06:00 → ATL 08:57DL 1285 2h 08m Atlanta ATL 11:05 → AUS 12:25DL 2011 6h 25m 99% 92%
DeltaDetails → MDW 11:05 → ATL 14:01DL 1063 1h 49m Atlanta ATL 15:50 → AUS 17:19DL 1491 6h 14m 99% 88%
DeltaDetails → MDW 09:54 → MSP 11:35DL 5469 · flown by Endeavor 2h 55m Minneapolis MSP 14:30 → AUS 17:15DL 2687 7h 21m 98% 88%
DeltaDetails → MDW 12:41 → ATL 15:43DL 2417 3h 16m Atlanta ATL 18:59 → AUS 20:22DL 1170 7h 41m 99% 88%
DeltaDetails → MDW 09:17 → DTW 11:35DL 4674 · flown by Endeavor 1h 18m Detroit DTW 12:53 → AUS 14:55DL 1012 5h 38m 85% 77%
Tight connection: often missed
DeltaDetails → MDW 13:26 → DTW 15:44DL 4688 · flown by Endeavor 51m Detroit DTW 16:35 → AUS 18:41DL 1612 5h 15m 75% 65%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON