Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 2:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: one nonstop, WN 2694 at 17:57, with a 11% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


WN 2694 Southwest	MDW 17:57	CHS 21:02	11%	2%	0.6%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Charleston on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Charleston is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	MDW 06:00 → ATL 08:57DL 1285	1h 49m Atlanta	ATL 10:46 → CHS 12:00DL 3107	5h 00m	98%	90%
Delta Details →	MDW 11:05 → ATL 14:01DL 1063	1h 58m Atlanta	ATL 15:59 → CHS 17:16DL 2174	5h 11m	99%	88%
Delta Details →	MDW 12:41 → ATL 15:43DL 2417	3h 50m Atlanta	ATL 19:33 → CHS 20:49DL 2493	7h 08m	100%	87%
Delta Details →	MDW 17:10 → ATL 20:23DL 1728	2h 47m Atlanta	ATL 23:10 → CHS 00:26 +1DL 2850	6h 16m	99%	87%
Delta Details →	MDW 10:17 → MSP 11:47DL 5469 · flown by Endeavor	55m Minneapolis	MSP 12:42 → CHS 16:29DL 2463	5h 12m	93%	84%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON