Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 6–12% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


WN 1953 Southwest	MDW 10:19	OKC 12:22	6%	1%	0.5%	no record
WN 4866 Southwest	MDW 20:16	OKC 22:22	12%	3%	0.5%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Oklahoma City on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	MDW 06:00 → ATL 08:57DL 1285	2h 07m Atlanta	ATL 11:04 → OKC 12:11DL 2020	6h 11m	98%	90%
Delta Details →	MDW 17:10 → ATL 20:23DL 1728	2h 21m Atlanta	ATL 22:44 → OKC 23:52DL 2423	6h 42m	99%	88%
Delta Details →	MDW 12:41 → ATL 15:43DL 2417	3h 22m Atlanta	ATL 19:05 → OKC 20:15DL 2784	7h 34m	99%	88%
Delta Details →	MDW 11:05 → ATL 14:01DL 1063	1h 14m Atlanta	ATL 15:15 → OKC 16:22DL 2862	5h 17m	97%	86%
Delta Details →	MDW 13:49 → MSP 15:33DL 4820 · flown by Endeavor	2h 37m Minneapolis	MSP 18:10 → OKC 20:15DL 3791 · flown by SkyWest	6h 26m	89%	76%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON