Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 9:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: one nonstop, WN 2820 at 14:32, with a 8% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


WN 2820 Southwest	MDW 14:32	SAV 17:37	8%	2%	0.6%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Savannah on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Savannah is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	MDW 11:05 → ATL 14:01DL 1063	2h 49m Atlanta	ATL 16:50 → SAV 18:02DL 3112	5h 57m	99%	91%
Delta Details →	MDW 17:10 → ATL 20:23DL 1728	2h 23m Atlanta	ATL 22:46 → SAV 23:53DL 2860	5h 43m	99%	90%
Delta Details →	MDW 12:41 → ATL 15:43DL 2417	2h 07m Atlanta	ATL 17:50 → SAV 18:59DL 527	5h 18m	99%	90%
Delta Details →	MDW 09:54 → MSP 11:35DL 5469 · flown by Endeavor	1h 10m Minneapolis	MSP 12:45 → SAV 16:23DL 2574	5h 29m	89%	82%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON