tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: Delta via Atlanta, leaving 05:15, is the safest bet: 90% chance of reaching Orlando on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Orlando on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Orlando is 1 h ahead of Memphis). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → MEM 05:15 → ATL 07:34DL 1666 1h 51m Atlanta ATL 09:25 → MCO 10:57DL 1658 4h 42m 99% 90%
DeltaDetails → MEM 06:20 → ATL 08:44DL 1624 2h 41m Atlanta ATL 11:25 → MCO 13:00DL 1030 5h 40m 99% 89%
DeltaDetails → MEM 06:00 → MSP 08:14DL 3899 · flown by SkyWest 1h 13m Minneapolis MSP 09:27 → MCO 13:40DL 1208 6h 40m 97% 88%
UnitedDetails → MEM 07:25 → ORD 09:30UA 247 1h 30m Chicago ORD 11:00 → MCO 15:03UA 2008 6h 38m 97% 87%
DeltaDetails → MEM 06:32 → DTW 09:27DL 2370 2h 56m Detroit DTW 12:23 → MCO 15:01DL 1123 7h 29m 98% 87%
DeltaDetails → MEM 11:45 → ATL 14:16DL 82 3h 44m Atlanta ATL 18:00 → MCO 19:48DL 2035 7h 03m 100% 85%
UnitedDetails → MEM 06:00 → EWR 09:43UA 3642 · flown by Republic 1h 27m Newark EWR 11:10 → MCO 14:03UA 2396 7h 03m 97% 85%
AmericanDetails → MEM 06:46 → CLT 09:41AA 978 2h 48m Charlotte CLT 12:29 → MCO 14:17AA 2117 6h 31m 99% 84%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON