Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Tue 9:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, DL 2290 at 06:54, with a 4% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


DL 2290 Delta Flight history →	MEM 06:54	SLC 09:08	4%	3%	0.6%	90%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Salt Lake City on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Salt Lake City is 1 h behind Memphis). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	MEM 05:59 → ATL 08:25DL 1666	3h 31m Atlanta	ATL 11:56 → SLC 13:50DL 663	8h 51m	99%	92%
Delta Details →	MEM 07:12 → MSP 09:20DL 3899 · flown by SkyWest	3h 09m Minneapolis	MSP 12:29 → SLC 14:19DL 2651	8h 07m	98%	92%
Delta Details →	MEM 11:45 → ATL 14:15DL 82	3h 45m Atlanta	ATL 18:00 → SLC 20:02DL 653	9h 17m	100%	91%
Delta Details →	MEM 09:27 → ATL 11:46DL 1149	2h 09m Atlanta	ATL 13:55 → SLC 15:51DL 423	7h 24m	99%	90%
Delta Details →	MEM 06:04 → DTW 08:58DL 2370	3h 22m Detroit	DTW 12:20 → SLC 14:11DL 935	9h 07m	99%	90%
Delta Details →	MEM 06:45 → AUS 08:37DL 4088 · flown by SkyWest	3h 43m Austin	AUS 12:20 → SLC 14:09DL 2671	8h 24m	99%	90%
Delta Details →	MEM 12:09 → MSP 14:22DL 3989 · flown by SkyWest	3h 51m Minneapolis	MSP 18:13 → SLC 20:07DL 2607	8h 58m	99%	90%
American Details →	MEM 05:00 → CLT 07:46AA 978	1h 53m Charlotte	CLT 09:39 → SLC 12:21AA 1895	8h 21m	97%	89%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON