tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · typical odds for a Wednesday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sat 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 15–18% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
AA 2948 American Flight history → MIA 00:11 CHS 01:39 15% 4% 1.1% 59%
AA 2152 American MIA 13:50 CHS 15:47 18% 7% 0.9% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Charleston on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → MIA 06:00 → ATL 08:01DL 1249 2h 45m Atlanta ATL 10:46 → CHS 12:00DL 3107 6h 00m 99% 90%
DeltaDetails → MIA 07:10 → ATL 09:10DL 1211 3h 21m Atlanta ATL 12:31 → CHS 13:42DL 2179 6h 32m 99% 88%
DeltaDetails → MIA 10:40 → ATL 12:48DL 2836 1h 52m Atlanta ATL 14:40 → CHS 15:53DL 1381 5h 13m 97% 86%
DeltaDetails → MIA 18:00 → ATL 20:14DL 1386 2h 56m Atlanta ATL 23:10 → CHS 00:26 +1DL 2850 6h 26m 97% 85%
DeltaDetails → MIA 14:09 → ATL 16:13DL 1332 3h 20m Atlanta ATL 19:33 → CHS 20:49DL 2493 6h 40m 97% 85%
DeltaDetails → MIA 12:05 → ATL 14:12DL 1510 3h 32m Atlanta ATL 17:44 → CHS 18:59DL 3179 6h 54m 99% 84%
AmericanDetails → MIA 08:22 → CLT 10:25AA 361 1h 53m Charlotte CLT 12:18 → CHS 13:28AA 5222 · flown by PSA 5h 06m 97% 83%
AmericanDetails → MIA 09:15 → PHL 12:10AA 551 3h 29m Philadelphia PHL 15:39 → CHS 17:32AA 1934 8h 17m 98% 80%
Tight connection: often missed
DeltaDetails → MIA 15:29 → LGA 18:45DL 1538 47m New York LGA 19:32 → CHS 22:02DL 4676 · flown by Endeavor 6h 28m 61% 35%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON