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Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 1:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: Delta via Atlanta, leaving 06:00, is the safest bet: 91% chance of reaching Cleveland on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Cleveland on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → MIA 06:00 → ATL 08:01DL 1249 1h 42m Atlanta ATL 09:43 → CLE 11:32DL 2978 5h 32m 98% 91%
DeltaDetails → MIA 07:10 → ATL 09:10DL 1211 2h 40m Atlanta ATL 11:50 → CLE 13:32DL 775 6h 22m 99% 89%
DeltaDetails → MIA 08:20 → ATL 10:20DL 1261 3h 16m Atlanta ATL 13:36 → CLE 15:20DL 2545 7h 00m 99% 88%
DeltaDetails → MIA 12:05 → ATL 14:12DL 1510 2h 39m Atlanta ATL 16:51 → CLE 18:41DL 1350 6h 36m 98% 86%
AmericanDetails → MIA 08:22 → CLT 10:25AA 361 3h 55m Charlotte CLT 14:20 → CLE 15:59AA 1244 7h 37m 99% 84%
DeltaDetails → MIA 14:09 → ATL 16:13DL 1332 3h 09m Atlanta ATL 19:22 → CLE 21:15DL 2150 7h 06m 96% 84%
AmericanDetails → MIA 07:00 → DFW 09:19AA 2575 1h 46m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 11:05 → CLE 14:55AA 2336 7h 55m 98% 82%
UnitedDetails → MIA 12:30 → ORD 15:13UA 1983 2h 32m Chicago ORD 17:45 → CLE 20:13UA 2652 7h 43m 97% 82%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON