tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Tue 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: MQ 9867 at 09:42 is the safest bet, 11% chance of being 15+ min late; the others run 30%.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
MQ 9867 Envoy MIA 09:42 GSO 11:59 11% 2% 0.9% no record
AA 3754 American flown by Envoy Flight history → MIA 19:43 GSO 21:57 30% 7% 1.9% 80%worse than usual

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Greensboro on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → MIA 06:00 → ATL 08:01DL 1249 2h 14m Atlanta ATL 10:15 → GSO 11:34DL 3052 5h 34m 99% 90%
AmericanDetails → MIA 06:40 → ORD 09:08AA 581 1h 35m Chicago ORD 10:43 → GSO 13:52AA 4144 · flown by Envoy 7h 12m 98% 90%
DeltaDetails → MIA 06:54 → LGA 09:53DL 2387 2h 28m New York LGA 12:21 → GSO 13:59DL 5132 · flown by Endeavor 7h 05m 98% 90%
DeltaDetails → MIA 08:20 → ATL 10:20DL 1261 3h 55m Atlanta ATL 14:15 → GSO 15:30DL 2539 7h 10m 99% 89%
UnitedDetails → MIA 11:28 → EWR 14:37UA 2433 1h 54m Newark EWR 16:31 → GSO 18:27UA 3576 · flown by Republic 6h 59m 99% 89%
DeltaDetails → MIA 07:10 → ATL 09:10DL 1211 3h 39m Atlanta ATL 12:49 → GSO 14:04DL 3060 6h 54m 99% 89%
UnitedDetails → MIA 07:07 → EWR 10:11UA 1864 2h 04m Newark EWR 12:15 → GSO 14:11UA 4509 · flown by GoJet 7h 04m 99% 87%
AmericanDetails → MIA 09:10 → LGA 12:14AA 605 3h 12m New York LGA 15:26 → GSO 17:26AA 4574 · flown by Republic 8h 16m 99% 87%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → MIA 18:56 → CLT 20:59AA 1577 1h 05m Charlotte CLT 22:04 → GSO 23:05AA 2802 4h 09m 64% 54%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON