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Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: Delta via Atlanta, leaving 06:00, is the safest bet: 90% chance of reaching Oklahoma City on time; the tightest one-ticket connections make it only 62% of the time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Oklahoma City on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Oklahoma City is 1 h behind Miami). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → MIA 06:00 → ATL 08:01DL 1249 3h 03m Atlanta ATL 11:04 → OKC 12:11DL 2020 7h 11m 99% 90%
DeltaDetails → MIA 16:50 → ATL 18:53DL 1323 3h 51m Atlanta ATL 22:44 → OKC 23:52DL 2423 8h 02m 98% 87%
UnitedDetails → MIA 07:37 → DEN 10:00UA 2045 3h 32m Denver DEN 13:32 → OKC 16:18UA 1656 9h 41m 99% 86%
DeltaDetails → MIA 10:40 → ATL 12:48DL 2836 2h 27m Atlanta ATL 15:15 → OKC 16:22DL 2862 6h 42m 97% 84%
DeltaDetails → MIA 14:09 → ATL 16:13DL 1332 2h 52m Atlanta ATL 19:05 → OKC 20:15DL 2784 7h 06m 95% 83%
AmericanDetails → MIA 06:40 → ORD 09:08AA 581 3h 07m Chicago ORD 12:15 → OKC 14:32AA 6337 · flown by SkyWest 8h 52m 99% 83%
UnitedDetails → MIA 15:44 → DEN 18:23UA 2852 2h 19m Denver DEN 20:42 → OKC 23:29UA 4727 · flown by SkyWest 8h 45m 95% 82%
AmericanDetails → MIA 07:00 → DFW 09:19AA 2575 1h 23m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 10:42 → OKC 11:58AA 3099 5h 58m 96% 82%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → MIA 15:35 → DFW 17:48AA 1824 48m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 18:36 → OKC 19:49AA 3287 5h 14m 62% 46%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON