tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 3–8% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 1172 Southwest MKE 07:44 BNA 09:18 3% 1% 0.4% no record
WN 1644 Southwest MKE 14:02 BNA 15:36 8% 2% 0.5% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Nashville on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → MKE 05:40 → ATL 08:41DL 1221 2h 40m Atlanta ATL 11:21 → BNA 11:30DL 2867 5h 50m 99% 93%
UnitedDetails → MKE 05:00 → ORD 05:59UA 5799 · flown by SkyWest 1h 03m Chicago ORD 07:02 → BNA 08:50UA 2073 3h 50m 97% 91%
DeltaDetails → MKE 06:50 → ATL 09:57DL 1236 3h 57m Atlanta ATL 13:54 → BNA 14:03DL 3159 7h 13m 99% 91%
DeltaDetails → MKE 07:11 → DTW 09:30DL 3757 · flown by SkyWest 2h 55m Detroit DTW 12:25 → BNA 13:03DL 1557 5h 52m 98% 91%
DeltaDetails → MKE 14:59 → ATL 18:06DL 1246 2h 18m Atlanta ATL 20:24 → BNA 20:38DL 3002 5h 39m 99% 90%
DeltaDetails → MKE 12:58 → ATL 16:07DL 1151 3h 13m Atlanta ATL 19:20 → BNA 19:38DL 1490 6h 40m 100% 90%
AmericanDetails → MKE 07:28 → ORD 08:28AA 6479 · flown by SkyWest 2h 57m Chicago ORD 11:25 → BNA 13:07AA 2362 5h 39m 99% 90%
DeltaDetails → MKE 17:42 → ATL 21:04DL 1206 1h 56m Atlanta ATL 23:00 → BNA 23:15DL 3121 5h 33m 98% 89%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON