Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 9:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day


DL 5404 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record	MKE 07:00	JFK 10:22	16%	10%	7.3%	84%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach New York on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Milwaukee). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	MKE 06:50 → ATL 09:57DL 1236	3h 58m Atlanta	ATL 13:55 → JFK 16:29DL 1575	8h 39m	99%	91%
American Details →	MKE 05:14 → ORD 06:16AA 6261 · flown by SkyWest	1h 37m Chicago	ORD 07:53 → JFK 10:58AA 4590 · flown by Republic	4h 44m	98%	91%
Delta Details →	MKE 05:40 → ATL 08:41DL 1221	2h 24m Atlanta	ATL 11:05 → JFK 13:20DL 2380	6h 40m	99%	91%
Delta Details →	MKE 12:58 → ATL 16:07DL 1151	2h 38m Atlanta	ATL 18:45 → JFK 21:29DL 2398	7h 31m	100%	89%
Delta Details →	MKE 15:59 → MSP 17:21DL 2006	3h 07m Minneapolis	MSP 20:28 → JFK 00:05 +1DL 2692	7h 06m	99%	87%
Delta Details →	MKE 17:42 → ATL 21:04DL 1206	1h 35m Atlanta	ATL 22:39 → JFK 00:55 +1DL 1632	6h 13m	97%	86%
American Details →	MKE 06:00 → DCA 09:11AA 5646 · flown by PSA	4h 00m Washington	DCA 13:11 → JFK 14:44AA 4522 · flown by Republic	7h 44m	99%	86%
American Details →	MKE 07:01 → CLT 10:07AA 2866	1h 33m Charlotte	CLT 11:40 → JFK 13:36AA 374	5h 35m	97%	86%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON