Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 9:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: one nonstop, DL 2716 at 07:00, with a 4% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


DL 2716 Delta Flight history →	MKE 07:00	SLC 09:25	4%	2%	0.6%	85%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Salt Lake City on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Salt Lake City is 1 h behind Milwaukee). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	MKE 05:40 → ATL 08:41DL 1221	3h 15m Atlanta	ATL 11:56 → SLC 13:50DL 663	9h 10m	99%	92%
American Details →	MKE 14:39 → PHX 16:57AA 899	2h 06m Phoenix	PHX 19:03 → SLC 21:50AA 4968 · flown by SkyWest	8h 11m	99%	92%
Delta Details →	MKE 12:58 → ATL 16:07DL 1151	1h 53m Atlanta	ATL 18:00 → SLC 20:02DL 653	8h 04m	100%	92%
United Details →	MKE 05:00 → ORD 05:59UA 5799 · flown by SkyWest	2h 56m Chicago	ORD 08:55 → SLC 11:39UA 1972	7h 39m	99%	91%
Delta Details →	MKE 06:50 → ATL 09:57DL 1236	3h 58m Atlanta	ATL 13:55 → SLC 15:51DL 423	10h 01m	99%	91%
Delta Details →	MKE 10:12 → ATL 13:16DL 2999	2h 04m Atlanta	ATL 15:20 → SLC 17:18DL 526	8h 06m	99%	90%
Delta Details →	MKE 07:11 → DTW 09:30DL 3757 · flown by SkyWest	2h 50m Detroit	DTW 12:20 → SLC 14:11DL 935	8h 00m	98%	90%
American Details →	MKE 05:14 → ORD 06:16AA 6261 · flown by SkyWest	2h 07m Chicago	ORD 08:23 → SLC 11:10AA 3129	6h 56m	98%	87%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON