Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: one nonstop, DL 730 at 18:11, with a 8% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


DL 730 Delta Flight history →	MSP 18:11	ABQ 19:55	8%	2%	0.5%	77%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Albuquerque on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Albuquerque is 1 h behind Minneapolis). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	MSP 12:29 → SLC 14:19DL 2651	3h 06m Salt Lake City	SLC 17:25 → ABQ 19:12DL 3726 · flown by SkyWest	7h 43m	100%	94%
Delta Details →	MSP 08:26 → ATL 11:54DL 1052	2h 29m Atlanta	ATL 14:23 → ABQ 15:31DL 1109	8h 05m	100%	93%
United Details →	MSP 05:45 → DEN 06:53UA 2041	1h 15m Denver	DEN 08:08 → ABQ 09:33UA 1733	4h 48m	98%	91%
American Details →	MSP 06:01 → DFW 08:27AA 1395	2h 28m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 10:55 → ABQ 11:56AA 3586 · flown by Envoy	6h 55m	98%	90%
United Details →	MSP 09:05 → DEN 10:21UA 1891	3h 12m Denver	DEN 13:33 → ABQ 14:59UA 1594	6h 54m	100%	89%
Delta Details →	MSP 14:31 → ATL 17:55DL 1048	2h 52m Atlanta	ATL 20:47 → ABQ 22:02DL 1531	8h 31m	99%	89%
United Details →	MSP 06:00 → ORD 07:44UA 307	1h 10m Chicago	ORD 08:54 → ABQ 11:07UA 723	6h 07m	98%	88%
Delta Details →	MSP 11:30 → LAX 13:23DL 2119	1h 37m Los Angeles	LAX 15:00 → ABQ 18:07DL 4091 · flown by SkyWest	7h 37m	97%	87%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON