tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 4:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 8–11% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
DL 2982 Delta Flight history → MSP 11:39 BOI 13:44 8% 2% 0.6% 86%
DL 2488 Delta Flight history → MSP 21:40 BOI 23:46 11% 3% 0.6% 73%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Boise on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Boise is 1 h behind Minneapolis). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → MSP 05:20 → ATL 08:54DL 1062 1h 37m Atlanta ATL 10:31 → BOI 12:53DL 874 8h 33m 99% 93%
AmericanDetails → MSP 14:33 → PHX 16:10AA 408 2h 57m Phoenix PHX 19:07 → BOI 22:20AA 4952 · flown by SkyWest 8h 47m 100% 91%
DeltaDetails → MSP 15:15 → SEA 17:00DL 877 2h 40m Seattle SEA 19:40 → BOI 22:18DL 3692 · flown by SkyWest 8h 03m 99% 91%
UnitedDetails → MSP 06:00 → ORD 07:44UA 307 1h 23m Chicago ORD 09:07 → BOI 11:44UA 2139 6h 44m 99% 90%
DeltaDetails → MSP 07:06 → LAX 09:00DL 2110 2h 44m Los Angeles LAX 11:44 → BOI 14:46DL 3773 · flown by SkyWest 8h 40m 100% 89%
DeltaDetails → MSP 11:10 → SEA 13:00DL 889 3h 10m Seattle SEA 16:10 → BOI 18:46DL 3688 · flown by SkyWest 8h 36m 100% 89%
DeltaDetails → MSP 08:10 → SLC 09:59DL 2628 1h 01m Salt Lake City SLC 11:00 → BOI 12:16DL 2095 5h 06m 97% 89%
UnitedDetails → MSP 09:05 → DEN 10:21UA 1891 1h 15m Denver DEN 11:36 → BOI 13:35UA 2255 5h 30m 97% 88%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON