Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: one nonstop, DL 2463 at 12:42, with a 8% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


DL 2463 Delta Flight history →	MSP 12:42	CHS 16:29	8%	2%	0.6%	85%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Charleston on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Charleston is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	MSP 05:20 → ATL 08:54DL 1062	1h 52m Atlanta	ATL 10:46 → CHS 12:00DL 3107	5h 40m	99%	92%
Delta Details →	MSP 08:26 → ATL 11:54DL 1052	2h 46m Atlanta	ATL 14:40 → CHS 15:53DL 1381	6h 27m	100%	91%
Delta Details →	MSP 06:55 → JFK 10:39DL 2969	2h 45m New York	JFK 13:24 → CHS 15:28DL 5200 · flown by Endeavor	7h 33m	99%	90%
Delta Details →	MSP 07:00 → ATL 10:32DL 1039	1h 59m Atlanta	ATL 12:31 → CHS 13:42DL 2179	5h 42m	99%	90%
United Details →	MSP 05:45 → DEN 06:53UA 2041	2h 57m Denver	DEN 09:50 → CHS 15:14UA 1003	8h 29m	99%	90%
United Details →	MSP 06:00 → ORD 07:44UA 307	3h 09m Chicago	ORD 10:53 → CHS 14:12UA 2631	7h 12m	100%	89%
Delta Details →	MSP 07:00 → BOS 10:45DL 2649	1h 21m Boston	BOS 12:06 → CHS 14:40DL 2785	6h 40m	97%	88%
Delta Details →	MSP 10:32 → ATL 14:04DL 1046	3h 40m Atlanta	ATL 17:44 → CHS 18:59DL 3179	7h 27m	100%	87%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON