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Wednesday, October 7 · typical odds for a Wednesday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sat 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: Delta via Atlanta, leaving 07:00, is the safest bet: 79% chance of reaching Fort Lauderdale on time.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
DL 673 Delta Flight history → MSP 08:50 FLL 13:25 8% 2% 0.7% 93%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Lauderdale on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Fort Lauderdale is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → MSP 05:20 → ATL 08:54DL 1062 1h 31m Atlanta ATL 10:25 → FLL 12:23DL 1512 6h 03m 98% 88%
UnitedDetails → MSP 05:45 → DEN 06:53UA 2041 3h 01m Denver DEN 09:54 → FLL 16:00UA 1214 9h 15m 100% 87%
DeltaDetails → MSP 07:14 → CVG 10:03DL 954 2h 13m Hebron CVG 12:16 → FLL 14:51DL 2776 6h 37m 99% 86%
DeltaDetails → MSP 07:00 → ATL 10:32DL 1039 1h 59m Atlanta ATL 12:31 → FLL 14:27DL 1341 6h 27m 99% 85%
DeltaDetails → MSP 07:01 → RDU 10:36DL 2519 1h 23m Raleigh/Durham RDU 11:59 → FLL 14:05DL 1038 6h 04m 98% 85%
UnitedDetails → MSP 09:05 → DEN 10:21UA 1891 3h 34m Denver DEN 13:55 → FLL 19:59UA 1384 9h 54m 100% 84%
DeltaDetails → MSP 08:26 → ATL 11:54DL 1052 1h 51m Atlanta ATL 13:45 → FLL 15:41DL 1413 6h 15m 99% 84%
UnitedDetails → MSP 13:36 → DEN 14:48UA 1305 2h 57m Denver DEN 17:45 → FLL 23:49UA 1374 9h 13m 99% 83%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON