Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 1:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: one nonstop, DL 2392 at 12:57, with a 8% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


DL 2392 Delta Flight history →	MSP 12:57	JAX 16:54	8%	2%	1.2%	85%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Jacksonville on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Jacksonville is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	MSP 05:20 → ATL 08:54DL 1062	3h 43m Atlanta	ATL 12:37 → JAX 13:45DL 3024	7h 25m	100%	88%
Delta Details →	MSP 09:00 → DTW 11:42DL 1433	3h 20m Detroit	DTW 15:02 → JAX 17:27DL 2994	7h 27m	99%	87%
Delta Details →	MSP 08:26 → ATL 11:54DL 1052	2h 03m Atlanta	ATL 13:57 → JAX 15:09DL 2990	5h 43m	100%	87%
United Details →	MSP 05:45 → DEN 06:53UA 2041	3h 14m Denver	DEN 10:07 → JAX 15:24UA 1451	8h 39m	100%	87%
United Details →	MSP 06:00 → ORD 07:44UA 307	2h 55m Chicago	ORD 10:39 → JAX 14:10UA 1113	7h 10m	100%	85%
American Details →	MSP 10:31 → ORD 12:16AA 4162 · flown by Envoy	2h 14m Chicago	ORD 14:30 → JAX 18:07AA 3486 · flown by Envoy	6h 36m	99%	85%
Delta Details →	MSP 17:18 → ATL 21:06DL 1036	1h 48m Atlanta	ATL 22:54 → JAX 00:09 +1DL 2276	5h 51m	98%	85%
Delta Details →	MSP 10:32 → ATL 14:04DL 1046	1h 16m Atlanta	ATL 15:20 → JAX 16:35DL 2720	5h 03m	97%	84%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON