Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 7:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: one nonstop, DL 2695 at 12:45, with a 7% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


DL 2695 Delta Flight history →	MSP 12:45	MSY 15:25	7%	2%	0.6%	85%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach New Orleans on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	MSP 05:20 → ATL 08:54DL 1062	2h 11m Atlanta	ATL 11:05 → MSY 11:37DL 2542	6h 17m	99%	93%
Delta Details →	MSP 07:00 → ATL 10:32DL 1039	3h 13m Atlanta	ATL 13:45 → MSY 14:17DL 3157	7h 17m	99%	92%
Delta Details →	MSP 08:26 → ATL 11:54DL 1052	3h 29m Atlanta	ATL 15:23 → MSY 15:57DL 3146	7h 31m	100%	91%
United Details →	MSP 09:05 → DEN 10:21UA 1891	3h 06m Denver	DEN 13:27 → MSY 17:15UA 250	8h 10m	100%	91%
Delta Details →	MSP 10:32 → ATL 14:04DL 1046	3h 53m Atlanta	ATL 17:57 → MSY 18:34DL 678	8h 02m	100%	89%
United Details →	MSP 06:00 → ORD 07:44UA 307	3h 14m Chicago	ORD 10:58 → MSY 13:26UA 1532	7h 26m	100%	89%
Delta Details →	MSP 17:18 → ATL 21:06DL 1036	2h 04m Atlanta	ATL 23:10 → MSY 23:43DL 2224	6h 25m	99%	88%
American Details →	MSP 06:19 → CLT 10:00AA 894	2h 58m Charlotte	CLT 12:58 → MSY 14:04AA 2030	7h 45m	99%	87%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON