tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 6:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: one nonstop, DL 3791 at 18:10, with a 10% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
DL 3791 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history → MSP 18:10 OKC 20:15 10% 5% 0.5% 78%
DL 5142 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record MSP 09:05 OKC 11:16 25% 9% 0.0% 75%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Oklahoma City on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → MSP 05:20 → ATL 08:54DL 1062 2h 10m Atlanta ATL 11:04 → OKC 12:11DL 2020 6h 51m 99% 91%
UnitedDetails → MSP 05:45 → DEN 06:53UA 2041 3h 12m Denver DEN 10:05 → OKC 13:01UA 5324 · flown by SkyWest 7h 16m 100% 90%
DeltaDetails → MSP 08:26 → ATL 11:54DL 1052 3h 21m Atlanta ATL 15:15 → OKC 16:22DL 2862 7h 56m 100% 88%
DeltaDetails → MSP 17:18 → ATL 21:06DL 1036 1h 38m Atlanta ATL 22:44 → OKC 23:52DL 2423 6h 34m 98% 88%
UnitedDetails → MSP 09:05 → DEN 10:21UA 1891 3h 11m Denver DEN 13:32 → OKC 16:18UA 1656 7h 13m 100% 85%
AmericanDetails → MSP 06:01 → DFW 08:27AA 1395 2h 15m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 10:42 → OKC 11:58AA 3099 5h 57m 98% 84%
AmericanDetails → MSP 14:33 → PHX 16:10AA 408 2h 46m Phoenix PHX 18:56 → OKC 23:15AA 6320 · flown by SkyWest 8h 42m 100% 84%
DeltaDetails → MSP 14:31 → ATL 17:55DL 1048 1h 10m Atlanta ATL 19:05 → OKC 20:15DL 2784 5h 44m 93% 82%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON