tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: one nonstop, DL 762 at 18:25, with a 16% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
DL 762 Delta Flight history → MSP 18:25 PSC 19:45 16% 4% 0.5% 69%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Pasco on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Pasco is 2 h behind Minneapolis). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → MSP 08:10 → SLC 09:59DL 2628 2h 25m Salt Lake City SLC 12:24 → PSC 13:09DL 3892 · flown by SkyWest 6h 59m 100% 94%
DeltaDetails → MSP 12:29 → SLC 14:19DL 2651 1h 33m Salt Lake City SLC 15:52 → PSC 16:38DL 3728 · flown by SkyWest 6h 09m 97% 91%
DeltaDetails → MSP 18:13 → SLC 20:07DL 2607 3h 08m Salt Lake City SLC 23:15 → PSC 23:54DL 1712 7h 41m 100% 89%
DeltaDetails → MSP 18:55 → SEA 20:48DL 881 1h 57m Seattle SEA 22:45 → PSC 23:53DL 4017 · flown by SkyWest 6h 58m 97% 83%
DeltaDetails → MSP 09:05 → SEA 10:59DL 868 2h 41m Seattle SEA 13:40 → PSC 14:54DL 3891 · flown by SkyWest 7h 49m 99% 75%
AmericanDetails → MSP 14:33 → PHX 16:10AA 408 46m Phoenix PHX 16:56 → PSC 19:37AA 5006 · flown by SkyWest 7h 04m 78% 69%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON