Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: one nonstop, DL 2574 at 12:45, with a 7% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


DL 2574 Delta Flight history →	MSP 12:45	SAV 16:23	7%	1%	0.6%	85%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Savannah on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Savannah is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	MSP 08:26 → ATL 11:54DL 1052	3h 09m Atlanta	ATL 15:03 → SAV 16:14DL 3014	6h 48m	100%	91%
Delta Details →	MSP 07:00 → ATL 10:32DL 1039	3h 00m Atlanta	ATL 13:32 → SAV 14:38DL 1067	6h 38m	99%	91%
United Details →	MSP 06:00 → ORD 07:44UA 307	3h 28m Chicago	ORD 11:12 → SAV 14:38UA 1612	7h 38m	100%	91%
Delta Details →	MSP 06:55 → JFK 10:39DL 2969	3h 55m New York	JFK 14:34 → SAV 16:48DL 5460 · flown by Endeavor	8h 53m	100%	91%
Delta Details →	MSP 10:32 → ATL 14:04DL 1046	2h 46m Atlanta	ATL 16:50 → SAV 18:02DL 3112	6h 30m	100%	90%
United Details →	MSP 05:45 → DEN 06:53UA 2041	3h 01m Denver	DEN 09:54 → SAV 15:21UA 361	8h 36m	100%	89%
Delta Details →	MSP 14:31 → ATL 17:55DL 1048	2h 11m Atlanta	ATL 20:06 → SAV 21:17DL 2425	5h 46m	98%	88%
Delta Details →	MSP 17:18 → ATL 21:06DL 1036	1h 40m Atlanta	ATL 22:46 → SAV 23:53DL 2860	5h 35m	98%	88%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON