Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 5:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: one nonstop, DL 2546 at 20:30, with a 14% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


DL 2546 Delta	MSP 20:30	SYR 23:48	14%	3%	0.6%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Syracuse on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Syracuse is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	MSP 06:04 → DTW 08:47DL 1461	2h 37m Detroit	DTW 11:24 → SYR 12:53DL 5533 · flown by Endeavor	5h 49m	100%	94%
Delta Details →	MSP 05:20 → ATL 08:54DL 1062	3h 43m Atlanta	ATL 12:37 → SYR 14:48DL 2991	8h 28m	100%	91%
Delta Details →	MSP 09:00 → DTW 11:42DL 1433	2h 40m Detroit	DTW 14:22 → SYR 15:51DL 5465 · flown by Endeavor	5h 51m	99%	90%
Delta Details →	MSP 08:26 → ATL 11:54DL 1052	3h 49m Atlanta	ATL 15:43 → SYR 17:59DL 2690	8h 33m	100%	90%
Delta Details →	MSP 10:05 → LGA 13:45DL 2764	1h 49m New York	LGA 15:34 → SYR 16:46DL 5388 · flown by Endeavor	5h 41m	98%	87%
Delta Details →	MSP 14:31 → ATL 17:55DL 1048	3h 40m Atlanta	ATL 21:35 → SYR 23:48DL 2123	8h 17m	99%	87%
Delta Details →	MSP 06:55 → JFK 10:39DL 2969	3h 54m New York	JFK 14:33 → SYR 15:43DL 5328 · flown by Endeavor	7h 48m	100%	87%
Delta Details →	MSP 16:15 → DTW 18:59DL 1476	2h 36m Detroit	DTW 21:35 → SYR 22:58DL 1689	5h 43m	99%	85%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON