Wednesday, October 7 · typical odds for a Wednesday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sat 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 45–46% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


B6 400 JetBlue Flight history →	MSY 17:03	BOS 21:38	45%	18%	1.1%	68%worse than usual
DL 1453 Delta	MSY 14:56	BOS 19:22	46%	20%	1.1%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Boston on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Boston is 1 h ahead of New Orleans). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	MSY 05:20 → ATL 07:54DL 1547	2h 11m Atlanta	ATL 10:05 → BOS 12:45DL 855	6h 25m	99%	88%
Delta Details →	MSY 06:20 → ATL 08:57DL 1534	2h 13m Atlanta	ATL 11:10 → BOS 13:47DL 862	6h 27m	99%	84%
Delta Details →	MSY 17:00 → ATL 19:35DL 3146	3h 05m Atlanta	ATL 22:40 → BOS 01:20 +1DL 865	7h 20m	95%	81%
Delta Details →	MSY 15:22 → ATL 18:01DL 3157	2h 49m Atlanta	ATL 20:50 → BOS 23:36DL 300	7h 14m	98%	76%
United Details →	MSY 07:00 → IAH 08:19UA 2124	1h 31m Houston	IAH 09:50 → BOS 14:48UA 2393	6h 48m	96%	75%
Delta Details →	MSY 07:28 → ATL 10:00DL 2522	2h 21m Atlanta	ATL 12:21 → BOS 14:56DL 1293	6h 28m	98%	75%
Delta Details →	MSY 13:30 → SLC 16:01DL 736	1h 14m Salt Lake City	SLC 17:15 → BOS 23:47DL 702	9h 17m	95%	73%
Delta Details →	MSY 12:42 → ATL 15:16DL 2542	2h 59m Atlanta	ATL 18:15 → BOS 21:00DL 821	7h 18m	98%	70%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON