tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 2–7% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 3325 Southwest MSY 06:13 BWI 10:04 2% 1% 0.6% no record
WN 2921 Southwest MSY 15:18 BWI 19:10 7% 2% 0.6% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Baltimore on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Baltimore is 1 h ahead of New Orleans). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
SouthwestDetails → MSY 10:14 → BNA 11:54WN 1146 2h 20m Nashville BNA 14:14 → BWI 17:08WN 462 5h 54m 100% 93%
DeltaDetails → MSY 05:20 → ATL 07:54DL 1547 3h 16m Atlanta ATL 11:10 → BWI 13:01DL 2711 6h 41m 100% 93%
DeltaDetails → MSY 09:13 → ATL 11:43DL 3128 2h 19m Atlanta ATL 14:02 → BWI 15:53DL 2799 5h 40m 99% 92%
UnitedDetails → MSY 07:00 → IAH 08:19UA 2124 3h 57m Houston IAH 12:16 → BWI 16:30UA 1720 8h 30m 99% 89%
DeltaDetails → MSY 10:34 → ATL 13:05DL 1424 2h 15m Atlanta ATL 15:20 → BWI 17:15DL 1267 5h 41m 98% 88%
UnitedDetails → MSY 12:07 → IAH 13:26UA 2253 3h 43m Houston IAH 17:09 → BWI 21:23UA 592 8h 16m 100% 86%
DeltaDetails → MSY 12:42 → ATL 15:16DL 2542 1h 29m Atlanta ATL 16:45 → BWI 18:41DL 2928 4h 59m 97% 85%
UnitedDetails → MSY 10:25 → ORD 13:05UA 1677 1h 41m Chicago ORD 14:46 → BWI 17:52UA 2737 6h 27m 96% 83%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON