Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 5:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: one nonstop, DL 2695 at 16:30, with a 10% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


DL 2695 Delta Flight history →	MSY 16:30	MSP 19:15	10%	3%	0.6%	84%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Minneapolis on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	MSY 05:20 → ATL 07:54DL 1547	2h 01m Atlanta	ATL 09:55 → MSP 11:30DL 2090	6h 10m	99%	91%
Delta Details →	MSY 06:20 → ATL 08:57DL 1534	3h 20m Atlanta	ATL 12:17 → MSP 13:50DL 2901	7h 30m	100%	90%
Delta Details →	MSY 09:13 → ATL 11:43DL 3128	2h 48m Atlanta	ATL 14:31 → MSP 16:07DL 2825	6h 54m	99%	89%
United Details →	MSY 08:04 → DEN 10:05UA 1376	3h 37m Denver	DEN 13:42 → MSP 16:46UA 732	8h 42m	100%	88%
Delta Details →	MSY 12:42 → ATL 15:16DL 2542	3h 21m Atlanta	ATL 18:37 → MSP 20:23DL 2654	7h 41m	99%	87%
Delta Details →	MSY 17:00 → ATL 19:35DL 3146	3h 25m Atlanta	ATL 23:00 → MSP 00:39 +1DL 1310	7h 39m	97%	86%
United Details →	MSY 10:25 → ORD 13:05UA 1677	3h 11m Chicago	ORD 16:16 → MSP 18:09UA 1935	7h 44m	100%	85%
Delta Details →	MSY 11:19 → DTW 14:48DL 2790	1h 32m Detroit	DTW 16:20 → MSP 17:12DL 2203	5h 53m	98%	83%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON