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Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: Delta via Atlanta, leaving 06:20, is the safest bet: 92% chance of reaching San Antonio on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach San Antonio on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → MSY 06:20 → ATL 08:57DL 1534 3h 18m Atlanta ATL 12:15 → SAT 13:38DL 1408 7h 18m 100% 92%
DeltaDetails → MSY 09:13 → ATL 11:43DL 3128 2h 02m Atlanta ATL 13:45 → SAT 15:10DL 2009 5h 57m 98% 88%
DeltaDetails → MSY 10:34 → ATL 13:05DL 1424 2h 53m Atlanta ATL 15:58 → SAT 17:29DL 1465 6h 55m 99% 87%
UnitedDetails → MSY 07:00 → IAH 08:19UA 2124 1h 19m Houston IAH 09:38 → SAT 10:54UA 1371 3h 54m 95% 86%
UnitedDetails → MSY 09:53 → IAH 11:12UA 2105 3h 26m Houston IAH 14:38 → SAT 15:42UA 2030 5h 49m 99% 85%
DeltaDetails → MSY 12:42 → ATL 15:16DL 2542 2h 05m Atlanta ATL 17:21 → SAT 18:48DL 2893 6h 06m 98% 85%
AmericanDetails → MSY 07:57 → DFW 09:50AA 1470 3h 43m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 13:33 → SAT 14:51AA 791 6h 54m 98% 83%
AmericanDetails → MSY 08:52 → DFW 10:40AA 2157 3h 53m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 14:33 → SAT 15:53AA 1961 7h 01m 99% 83%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON