Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 3–6% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


WN 4100 Southwest	MYR 11:02	BNA 11:41	3%	1%	0.5%	no record
WN 1329 Southwest	MYR 18:35	BNA 19:20	6%	3%	0.5%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Nashville on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 1 h behind Myrtle Beach). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	MYR 06:00 → ATL 07:19DL 3162	2h 38m Atlanta	ATL 09:57 → BNA 10:09DL 1155	5h 09m	99%	93%
American Details →	MYR 06:51 → CLT 07:58AA 3296	2h 44m Charlotte	CLT 10:42 → BNA 11:14AA 1295	5h 23m	99%	91%
Delta Details →	MYR 11:42 → ATL 13:04DL 3047	2h 09m Atlanta	ATL 15:13 → BNA 15:26DL 3142	4h 44m	99%	89%
Delta Details →	MYR 11:34 → DTW 13:31DL 1145	2h 30m Detroit	DTW 16:01 → BNA 16:40DL 2316	6h 06m	99%	88%
Delta Details →	MYR 20:02 → ATL 21:35DL 1093	1h 25m Atlanta	ATL 23:00 → BNA 23:15DL 3121	4h 13m	96%	88%
American Details →	MYR 17:48 → CLT 18:58AA 2943	3h 01m Charlotte	CLT 21:59 → BNA 22:25AA 1644	5h 37m	96%	83%
American Details →	MYR 12:02 → CLT 13:09AA 2431	3h 54m Charlotte	CLT 17:03 → BNA 17:38AA 519	6h 36m	89%	73%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON